Something about flush draws has been bothering my mind for awhile now. It has actually something to do with what happened in one of my $10 NL holdem games.
I’m quite sure you know that anything less than 6 or 7 times the big blind will usually be called. And that from an early position raiser, there will always a preflop raise of three times the big blind with 4 or 5 callers. Well, I’m in the late position and I was dealt A9s. I then called the raise. Then the flop came four flush, eventually, I hit bottom or middle pair with my 9. To be honest, I’m not sure if it was right to move all in to have my 2 cards without paying.
Say I had AKs and was four flush with over cards, and heavy betting is inevitable with maybe a queen or jack showing, can I consider my over cards out from the table?
By the way, I’m curious whether or not should the nut or near nut (kxs) flush draw be pushed hard when you have more than 9 outs from the flop. Consider that flush draw is working on a straight or over card. Please, I need clarity.
Thank you.
Benny
Benny,
When you flop a flush draw, you are sitting with at least 36% chance to hit your hand by the river.
In the first scenario with the A-9, the board cards are not visible so I cannot comment on whether you were correct to move in or not.
When you have four to the flush and over cards to the board, you can consider your over cards as additional outs. In that scenario, you would have 15 outs to hit your hand. This is a 60% chance to hit a potential winning hand. This is a very powerful draw and you are seldom going to encounter a situation where you do not have pot odds to call.
As far as whether to push with your draw, I would consider a bet or even a raise, but moving all in is usually not a good idea unless you are short. If you have 10 outs, and your stack is less than 40% of the size of the pot, then yes you can push as you have a 40% chance to make your hand.